'Governor Waller discusses economic forecast in recent address'

Money | July 17, 2024, 8:24 a.m.

In 2024, economic forecasters and policymakers faced challenges as inflation unexpectedly rose in the first quarter. However, recent data shows progress towards price stability has resumed, with a more moderate economic growth pace and slowing inflation. Despite these positive developments, the Federal Reserve remains cautious about lowering interest rates until confident about sustainable inflation returning to 2 percent. The balancing labor market, with improved supply and demand, supports this cautious approach. Wage growth has slowed, indicating a potential soft landing for the labor market. Different scenarios for inflation in the second half of 2024 will influence the Fed's policy decisions. Communication about policy paths is crucial to ensure transparency amid changing economic conditions. Overall, while progress has been made, the Fed remains vigilant in managing the economy to achieve its dual-mandate goals of stable prices and maximum employment.