S&P 500 Forecast: 20% Decline Possible in Near Future as Top Economist Analyzes Market Trends Post-June CPI Report - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)

Money | July 12, 2024, 4:04 p.m.

Stocks experienced a sharp decline after June's inflation data came in lower than expected, with the major averages led by mega-caps and tech stocks. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a decrease in the month-over-month inflation rate, surprising economists who had forecasted an increase. This resulted in a negative reaction from the stock market, with the S&P 500 ETF declining while the Russell 2000 ETF climbed. Economist David Rosenberg noted the unusual divergence between the two indexes, suggesting a potential sell-off in the broader market. With market futures indicating further weakness, investors are closely watching for potential rate cuts by the Fed. Despite the uncertain market conditions, there may be opportunities for growth in underperforming stocks of interest-rate sensitive companies. As investors navigate this volatile market, understanding the implications of inflation data and Fed actions is crucial for making informed decisions.